Wednesday, November 24, 2010

2010 stock market hardly a good time in 2009

 New Year, an instant, the stock market into 2010.
New Year is always full of imagination, for the stock market is particularly true for investors. Especially after the 2009 campaign, investors hope in the next level in 2009.
however, wishes and reality often exist between the distance. Looking While the 2010 stock market can build on 2009, but For investors, make money in 2010 than in 2009, the stock market is much more difficult .2010 difficult in the good old days of 2009, 2009, at least two opportunities for the 2010 years can not have.
first 2009 is the starting point of China's stock market has experienced low .2008 largest one ever bear market, stock index from the beginning point of the highest point of 5522 fell to the lowest point of 1664 points, a drop of 3858 points. If you press the record high in 2007 calculation, it is a drop of 4460 points. the index of the crash, for investors, the investment in 2008 is, of course, is a heavy blow, but also for the stock market in 2009 dropped out of the opportunity. It is because of 2008 The crash of the stock of investment risks are great release in late 2008 early 2009, many investment value of the stock is reflected. This is the stock market in 2009 laid the foundation, making the stock market in 2009 with a low starting point , the advantages of low risk. If the starting point of 2009 points in 1820 compared to the starting point of 5261 points in 2008 compared to significant decline in investment risk is clear. It is because of the low starting point, this makes the stock market upward in 2009 up more easily. to reach 3277 points at the end of the year rose 80%. It can be said of the stock market in 2009 was confirmed in the stock market saying: opportunities or out.
Second, the 2009 stock market faced by macroeconomic policy good face is unprecedented. From November 2008 began, the State Council began a Planning launched, giving the stock market a steady stream of speculation subject matter. In order to stimulate economic development in line with the national implementation of the scheme in 2009, the banking sector has also taken the extremely loose monetary policy, the year of new loans at close to 10 trillion. This will not only greatly stimulated our economy to recover first in the world, and the excess liquidity has greatly stimulated the development of the stock market, and even a lot of bank loans through various channels to flow directly or indirectly to the stock market, and became a rising stock market direct driving force. can be sure that the stock market hardly better than 2009, the macro-policy side.
is based on these two opportunities, thus creating a 2009 unilateral upward trend in the stock market, and to give most of the opportunity to make money. But the two major opportunities for the stock market in 2010, apparently ceased to exist. After all, the starting point of 2010 points is 3277, which is a retreat of the point into the stock market index in On this basis rose 500 points and down 500 points are normal. This also means that investors face in 2010 the investment risk is far greater than in 2009. more importantly, the macro-policy aspect can not be as easy as in 2009. At least Banking can no longer issuing 10 trillion of credit funds, but also in strengthening the flow of credit funds under management, the possibility of credit funds into the stock market greatly reduced. and the macro-side in 2010 but also to strengthen the management of inflation expectations, not rule out the banking industry will take to improve the capital reserve ratio and even the possibility of raising interest rates. Therefore, the 2010 stock market very difficult to have good times in 2009. Although the stock market in 2010 will have the same opportunities to make money, but investors should seize The opportunity to make money much more difficult than in 2009. Maybe for investors in 2010, is a more investment techniques need to pay attention the year, the level of investment will determine the investor's profit and loss in 2010.

No comments:

Post a Comment